Li Yue, President of China Mobile, announced that large-scale 5G field test will begin in 2017.

At the China Mobile (microblogging) partner conference held in Guangzhou, Li Yue, president of China Mobile, announced that it will begin 5G large-scale field experiment in 2017.

Although China has only entered 3G for 3 years, the overall high-speed development of the three major operators 4G is only 2 years, but the 5G accelerated deployment expectations seem to have formed.

"The formulation of the 5G standard is in fact a compromise between each other. In addition, we have seen some operators rush to deploy 5G, especially the US factor. We see that 5G development is indeed faster than expected." 12 On the 20th, Ericsson China CMO Chang Gang said in an interview with the first financial reporter.

Li Yue, President of China Mobile, announced that large-scale 5G field test will begin in 2017.
China Mobile clearly targets 5G deployment

At the earliest MWC2015, China Mobile's time node for deploying 5G in China was around 2024.

“The ITU (International Telecommunication Union) plans to complete the collection and standardization of technical solutions from 2016 to 2020. We also hope to standardize and test at this stage, submit a technical version to the ITU in 2020 and pass it, and implement it at the end of 2020. The field test was put into commercial use in 2024." At that time, experts from China Mobile participated in the first financial report.

If 4G is deployed according to this schedule, it means that China Mobile may have a valuable 4G development time of about 10 years, while maintaining the advantage of about 10 years.

The ITU's timetable has not changed. In October 2015, the ITU officially named 5G technology as IMT-2020, and it is expected to complete the technical collection in 2017 and standardization in 2020. However, some countries plan to deploy 5G earlier than this plan.

As a global telecom operator with up to 4G subscribers, China Mobile plans to make some fine-tuning when the 5G global development path becomes clearer. In February 2016, China Mobile Chairman Shang Bing expressed his intention to conduct R&D trials and pilots of commercial products in 2018 at the GTI (TD-LTE Global Development Initiative) Summit of MWC2016, and “strive to launch 5G network commercial in 2020” ".

However, at the 2016 China Mobile Partner Conference just held, the 5G commercial time node has not “strived”, but more clearly “realized 5G commercialization in 2020”, and plans to start large in 2017. The scale of the 5G field experiment, starting the commercial trial of 5G in 2018, about three or four years earlier than the target proposed in 2015.

The United States, Europe and Japan join the competition

The adjustment of China Mobile's plan is not without reason. China has demonstrated its advantages in the global 4G competition and has become the most developed and user-friendly country in the world. However, some telecom industry developed countries will focus on 5G and expect to deploy 5G earlier.

Many countries seem to be engaged in a 5G competition. As early as 2014, South Korea announced that it will deploy 5G in 2018; Japanese operator NTTDoCoMo also announced that it will launch a 5G trial network in Tokyo in 2017 and a large-scale field test in 2016. There are also the United States and Europe. This year, Verizon, the largest wireless carrier in the United States, announced that it has conducted field tests on 5G technology, and European operators are also eager to move.

According to media reports, China's 5G promotion leading agency, IMT-2020 (5G) promotion group, also said last month that China will launch the second phase of 5G network test in 2017 and large-scale trial network in 2018. On this basis, the 5G network construction will be launched in 2019, and the official commercial 5G network will be established as soon as 2020. The time nodes determined by China's IMT-2020 (5G) propulsion group are basically synchronized with the time nodes of other countries.

However, some experts have raised doubts. "The consensus in the industry is that 5G will be commercialized in 2020. For this timetable, I think it is more radical. The biggest difficulty is the lack of core technology reserves." It is worth mentioning that it is indeed based on the ITU. 5G demand and technical goals, the most advanced technology is only close, especially in terms of delay, it is still difficult to meet the 1 millisecond delay requirement proposed by the ITU.

"5G is mature, time is really long. From the deployment (test) scenario in North America, we may not deploy 5G on mobile phones at first. When starting multi-scene applications, we may first reach some scenarios first. Mature. In addition, according to the development time node of some chip companies, the time to launch 5G chips may be in 2018, and in the first half of 2019, 5G terminals may also appear." Chang Gang told reporters.

According to Ericsson's forecast, by 2022, there will be 2.9 billion connected terminals worldwide, and 540 million from 5G terminals. Ericsson said that this figure is based on the expectation that more than a few months ago, considering the deployment of 5G in North America, and if it is expected to accelerate the 5G deployment in East Asia including China, the actual development will exceed the above speed.

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