2022 service robots will reach 34 million in 2017. China's robot development will cross five major bottlenecks.

This year, when Xiao Bian visited the high-tech fair, he saw robot drawing and robots transmitting various parts and components, including the demonstration of robots. He felt that industrial robots have been fully promoted in China. At the same time, many brands in the service robot field have brought new products. Many participants at the scene had a strong interest in the function and use of service robots. With the reduction of China's labor force, cleaning, homeless robots, companion robots, that is, the service robot market is promising.

Strategy AnalyTIcs analyzed the current state of service robots in a series of recent research reports. The report "Personal Service Robots: From RVC to Pet Dogs" and "Professional Service Robots: Delivery and Logistics Drive Sales" concludes that home robots and commercial robots will grow rapidly over the next decade. In 2022, six years later, sales of personal service robots, including vacuum cleaners and personal companion robots, will grow by 280%, while professional service robots, such as delivery and cleaning robots, will grow by more than 600%.

Ville-Petteri Ukonaho, senior analyst at Strategy AnalyTIcs, said, “In 2016, sales of personal service robots will account for 99% of all service robots. 60% of them are home-synthesized robots, used for cleaning and other chores; 2022, The average annual compound growth rate (CAGR) of such robots will reach 16%. Another important category of personal service robots includes accompanying robots, providing assistance and educational entertainment for the masters. Sales of these two types of robots will be in 2019. More than cleaning/housekeeping robots."

According to Ken Hyers, Strategy Director of Emerging Devices at Strategy AnalyTIcs, “In terms of regions, in 2015 and 2016, service robots have the highest penetration rate in North America; they are used by consumers to clean floors, mow lawns and clean pools. But with millet Companies such as Zenbo and Softbank will focus on the local market. In 2017, sales of collaborative robots will be crowned in the Asia Pacific region. In 2022, 60% of service robots will be sold in the Asia Pacific region."

Ville-Petteri Ukonaho added, “Professional service robots are another growing robot market. There are Amazon-like Kivas used as robots for sorting and delivering goods; there are other functions of robots, such as assisting surgery in hospitals, Cleaning the office and factory, as well as agricultural picking. The biggest constraint on the sales of professional service robots is the price. For example, medical robot systems are very expensive, so most of them are rented by hospitals instead of buying. We expect that from now until 2022, professional The average annual compound growth rate of service robots will reach 32%."


Qu Daokui, chairman of the China Robotics Industry Association, said at the meeting on December 14 that the market value of domestic industrial robots in the first half of this year exceeded RMB 2.66 billion, an increase of 23.9% on a comparable basis. Considering the expansion of statistics, the actual amount Increase by 40%. Jong-OhPark, member of the International Federation of Robotics (IFR) Executive Committee, pointed out on the same day that last year, global sales of 248,000 industrial robots, China accounted for 27% of the global market, ranking first.

Sun Feng, deputy director of the Equipment Industry Department of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, also believes that, first of all, although there are breakthroughs in key components of robots, high-end products and import dependence are still high. Secondly, some independent product brands are close to the world's advanced level, but the ability of independent innovation is still in urgent need of strengthening.

1. Highly sophisticated talents are extremely scarce

In general, the two types of talents are the most scarce: pilot talents and professional and technical personnel. Pilot-type talents refer to the overall trend of the global and China's overall economic situation, the development of the robot industry, leading the trend of robot development, to determine the direction of the development of robotics, but also to understand the development, manufacturing, promotion, sales and development of robots Compound senior talents in business management. Professional technical talents refer to professional technical talents who are familiar with related disciplines such as computer science, information theory, cybernetics, uncertainty theory, philosophy, cognitive science, psychology, mathematics, neurophysiology, and bionics.

The way to deal with it: Robot companies should cooperate with colleges, research institutes, vocational and technical schools, and take the road of integration of production, education and research to cultivate practical and talented people. Such a cooperative approach can often achieve a win-win result. In the process of cooperation with the Chinese Academy of Sciences and the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen famous robot brand “Ast” has achieved a number of core technological breakthroughs, obtained 7 national patents, and more than 20 patents are in the application.

2. Relatively backward technology

In recent years, China's robotics industry has developed rapidly, and artificial intelligence technology has generally improved significantly, but there is still a big gap compared with advanced countries such as the US and Japan. In the four key technologies of computing, vision, voice, and driving, only voice technology can compete with international leading technologies, and the gap between the other three areas is more obvious.

The technical gap has led to China still relying on imports on its core components, which has pushed the prices of Chinese robots to remain high and the products to be uncompetitive. Technology and cost are mutually constrained and have become the biggest challenge for the development of the Chinese robot industry.

The way to deal with it: Chinese companies should increase their efforts to develop key technologies. As Lenovo’s president Liu Chuanzhi said, “Chinese private enterprises, including national research institutes, who are capable, ambitious, and pursued, should stand at a higher level to invest, lay out, and build their own (robots). ) R & D team. So we can prepare for what will happen in a few years."

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